As the professional practice of intelligence collection adapts to the changing environment and new threats of the twenty-first century, many academic experts and intelligence professionals call . The Technological Threat and Opportunity Analysis (TTOA) method was developed by the authors (Arman et al., 2006).
Follow him @MpoM24. Technology Intelligence (TI) is an activity that enables companies to identify the technological opportunities and threats that could affect the future growth and survival of their business.
How tech is transforming the intelligence industry ... S&T collection and analysis has prioritized military affairs and technical collection rather than global developments in emerging . In addition, the type of Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World This topical volume offers a comprehensive review of secret intelligence organizations and activities. Intelligence has been in the news consistently since 9/11 and the Iraqi WMD errors. Amidst evolving threat environments and changing national security priorities, U.S. and allied intelligence collection organizations can leverage emerging technologies to improve how intelligence is gathered, processed, and exploited for operations. These technologies can help expand, automate, and sharpen the collection and processing of intelligence, augment analysts' ability to craft strategic . The IC must be adaptable not only in how it employs these tools and technologies but also in how it conceptualizes and executes its missions.
The advent of technology is changing banking, resulting in artificial intelligence's (AI) deployment in data collection, data integration, and analysis.
Take, as reported by The New York Times, the discovery that special operations forces are in Libya to "identify militant leaders and map out their networks" as a precursor for potentially greater involvement against jihadists. Acquiring commercial datasets poses two key issues: trust and redundancy. Beyond traditional intelligence sharing and liaison partnerships, the U.S. IC will need to reconceptualize and adapt how it develops, employs, and exploits emerging technologies with partners at the innovation edge. In this provocative, utterly original work, Kai-Fu Lee, the former president of Google China and bestselling author of AI Superpowers, teams up with celebrated novelist Chen Qiufan to imagine our world in 2041 and how it will be shaped by ...
However, as seen with the deaths of hostages and civilians, this promise remains unfulfilled, though efforts to avoid civilian deaths are substantial. Intelligence collection is a massive endeavor.
In an article for Global Securities Studies (PDF) in 2013, Gabriel Margolis pointed out that “[t]he technical affluence of the United States has permeated the intelligence community and continues to contribute to the intelligence failures of the CIA because of American reliance on technology over human sources.”, Advanced satellite and unmanned systems, both of which keep soldiers out of harm’s way, has allowed for the military and covert organizations to shy away from human intelligence gathering, or at the very least, rely on it less. Professional Journal of the United States Army - Page 118
Primarily closed data architecture hampers IC integration with commercial providers, lacking known, open, and unclassified interfaces to effectively integrate data and software. Satellites orbit high above and safely collect images for analysis. An ever-growing âdigital dustâ of publicly available information combined with big data analytics and targeted hacks could enable foreign intelligence to identify and expose U.S. intelligence officers, including at home.22 Foreign case officers will exploit the same tools to speed up the agent acquisition cycle, including of U.S. spies, while foreign AI-enabled technical collection targets U.S. operations and activities.
Intelligence analysis is the process by which the information collected about an enemy is used to answer tactical questions about current operations or to predict future behavior. As technologies weaken defensive counterintelligence capabilities against foreign detection, they will also strengthen adversariesâ offensivecounterintelligence capabilities to penetrate U.S. intelligence. In order to collect effectively, the Intelligence Community must develop, buy, and operate collection systems, manage the data that the systems . Despite the colossal volume of data we create every day, a mere 0.5% is actually analyzed and used .
This book will be essential reading for students of intelligence studies, US national security, and IR in general. This will involve adaptability in, among other areas, how it partners with foreign allies, leverages open-source, and approaches the next generation of disruptive technologies. An attack-strike aircraft capable of supersonic speeds, the Growler is also being developed as an advanced ISR platform. The use of data in football (or soccer as my American friends prefer to call it) - the most popular sport in the world - has seen huge growth in recent years.
Advances in encryption and device computing power could make source-handler communication more secure and robust in compressed time windows, while AI-enabled surveillance and analytics can improve monitoring for security and counterintelligence risks.18 The digitization of secrets sought by the IC is blurring the traditional boundaries that separate the HUMINT, SIGINT, and cyber disciplinesâand the agencies organized around them. AI-accelerated cyberattacks could target collection and communication platforms and employ intelligent malware to access, exploit, or destroy critical data and intelligence.24 Once inside, foreign intelligence could exploit âcounter-AIâ techniques to insert âpoisonedâ or false data into training sets to undermine ML-based models, fool U.S. IC algorithms, and cause AI systems to misperformâsuch as a deep neural network image classifier falsely recognizing friend as foe.25. Take a detailed look at challenges facing both the analysis of intelligence information and the introduction of that analysis into the national security policy process. data, analysis, and communication tools that increase their ability to perform other tasks. For all the technical prowess of these ISR platforms, however, human intelligence is still important.
Much of the information analyzed in the field of intelligence analysis is not reported to the police by citizens but is gathered by law enforcement. Found inside – Page 36448 must strengthen their ability to anticipate the proper targets for collection and analysis . ... Effects of New Technology Technological change produces both new capabilities and new barriers in intelligence collection . Let me turn now to the impact of changing technology on privacy. This book focuses instead on the central role that intelligence-collection systems play in promoting arms control and disarmament. Lack of transparency on evidence chains and how, where, and when AI was applied will leave key usersâanalysts, operators, and policymakersâuncertain in trusting the resulting products.
Such âsmart searchâ capacity will be critical as 5G and the internet of things (IoT) devices generate exponential growth in signals and data.5 Such AI-enabled signal detection and search models could be integrated into indicators and warning systems automated to âtip and cueâ collection.6, Target validation: AI and advanced analytics could be used not only to identify collection targets but also to validate the veracity of collected data and collection sources, technical or human. Intelligence collection is a massive endeavor. The act of collecting intelligence about individuals, groups, or states of interest has come under increasing scrutiny since September 11, 2001.
Open-source intelligence (OSINT) refers to the collection and analysis of publicly available information, mostly from online sources.
The Science and Technology Career Field represents DIA's agile and adaptive posture to respond effectively to a dynamic operational environment. Defense Intelligence Analysis in the Age of Big Data ... Drones and other technologies will continue to be essential tools in intelligence gathering, but the U.S. will have to find the right mix between automated tools and human intelligence. Commission on the Intelligence Capabilities of the United ... Traditionally, it has been the most emphasized segment of the process, with law enforcement agencies and prosecutors dedicating significant resources to gathering data . Our country's best and brightest make up the collective hive-mind. 4.4.1 Lack of Standardization in Data Collection.
However, while the tools and resources available to U.S. intelligence collection continue to grow, so too do the challenges.
Technology has changed major sectors over the past 20 years, including media, climate action and healthcare. Information captured by the F-35 can be shared securely with units at sea, on the ground or in the air.
To answer it, the Task Force convened experts and stakeholders from across the IC, technology, policy, and research communities for a series of discussions.
Using Technologies for Data Collection and Management ... The huge amount of digital data is considered the biggest challenge of any OSINT collection activity. The Task Force identified opportunities for leveraging advanced technologies to improve, accelerate, and augment how intelligence is collected. When paired with advanced sensors and communications platforms, human collectors equipped with edge devices could push into harsh, high-risk, or denied areas for sensitive collection missions and transmit time-sensitive data in close to real time.19 As edge capabilities mature, AI-enabled processing tools could be applied in forward areas or even on-site, rapidly generating actionable intelligence for operators and decisionmakers.20 While expanding where and accelerating how fast intelligence is collected and actioned, edge devices could help alleviate operational demands on national or theater-level collection platforms. Found inside – Page 135A Post - Cold War National Security Science and Technology Assessment . ... The assessment will include the S & T foundation for intelligence collection , analysis , and dissemination ... Climate Change : The State of Knowledge . Advances in deep learning neural networks could help automate more complex tasks in image recognition and categorization and at greater levels of precision and specificity for users (e.g., not only recognizing a tank but identifying its make, model, origin, and, combined with other signatures, recent activity or deployments).13 For all technical INTs, but particularly SIGINT, NLP was identified as a vital and value-added AI capability.14 NLP applications for the IC are evolving from speech-to-text transcription, voice identification, and foreign language translation of intercepted communications to more sophisticated, human-like capabilities such as narrative text summarization and emotion detection.15, Sensemaking and Visualization: In the coming years, analysts could employ deep learning tools to identify patterns and trends in data streams, make inferences on relationships between targets, and visualize networks for enhanced clarity and deeper meaning. The sport is beginning to more fully realize the power of performance analysis and apply objective information more efficiently to . Types of Intelligence Collection - Intelligence Studies ... Found inside – Page 13References 1. 10. 11. 12. Guo, J., Wang, X., Li, Q., Zhu, D.: Subject–action–object-based morphology analysis for determining the direction of technological change. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 105, 27– 40 (2016) 2. Intelligence is the product resulting from the collection, collation, evaluation, analysis, integration, and interpretation of collected information. Emerging technologies hold tremendous potential to augment, accelerate, and improve the way intelligence is collected and processed to better serve U.S. national security objectives. The U.S. Intelligence Community B. Neural networks can function without complete or well-structured information. Found inside – Page 68Beyond technology, success in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and anywhere else, depends crucially upon on-the-ground intelligence long before ... 139Mark Pomerleau, How Technology Has Changed Intelligence Collection, DEFENSE SYSTEMS (April 22, ...
Defense Intelligence Analysis in the Age of Big Data. The reliance on SIGINT is understandable, considering the technology involved.
SIGINT, consisting of intercepting communications, breaking codes and studying technical communications, among other tasks, is often, but not always, performed safely outside hot conflict zones.
Since its inception, there has been a strong fascination with the secret aspects of its work, particularly with respect to the clandestine collection of information and covert efforts to influence foreign governments, and to undermine rival ... The lack of HUMIT in certain areas has raised the importance of SIGINT, and vice versa.
Automation tools and integrated APIs can then dispatch specific data to specific receivers in the intel-ops cycle, enabling deeper analysis and/or more immediate actioning by operators.21.
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